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Evidence for Africa | July 7, 2026

Fresh insights from new research shaping Africa’s food systems, resilience, and economic development


Key Insight of the Week

Secure land tenure can influence both farmers’ crop choices and their willingness to invest in agricultural inputs. New IFPRI research from Nigeria finds that greater tenure security is associated with increased investment in fertilizers and pesticides, while also shaping crop portfolios.

Featured Report of the Week

Land tenure security, crop choices, and agricultural input investment decisions: Evidence from national survey data in Nigeria(OA) by Olanrewaju, OpeyemiKirui, Oliver K.Popoola, Olufemi; Bamiwuye, Temilolu; Nwagboso, Chibuzo; Fasoranti, Adetunji

How does land tenure security influence farmers’ production decisions? In this week’s Evidence for Africa, IFPRI researchers examine how perceived land tenure security affects crop choices and agricultural input investments among smallholder farmers in rural Nigeria.

Using data from the Nigeria Living Standards Measurement Study–Integrated Surveys on Agriculture (LSMS-ISA), the study finds that greater tenure security increases the probability of cultivating grains and cereals while reducing the likelihood of growing legumes, pulses, and horticultural crops, suggesting a shift toward grain specialization.

The analysis also shows that stronger land tenure security is associated with higher use of agricultural inputs. A one-unit increase in the tenure security index is associated with a 9.93% increase in organic fertilizer use, a 6.57% increase in inorganic fertilizer use, and a 0.89% increase in pesticide use.

The study further finds stronger investment effects among youth-headed households, while impacts on female-managed plots are not statistically significant. The authors conclude that combining tenure formalization with crop diversification support, gender- and youth-sensitive land governance, and input market development could help maximize productivity gains from land rights reforms in Nigeria.

Read the full paper

Other Recent Publications

Large language models as measurement instruments in applied economics: A 10-country public-discourse panel on food and nutrition security in Africa, 2010–2025 (OA)
Ulimwengu, John M.

2026 Sudan conflict conference: Three years of conflict in Sudan: What the evidence tells us and what recovery requires – Conference proceedings (OA)
Mohamed, Shima; Abushama, Hala; Kirui, Oliver K.; Suliman, Gotada; Siddig, Khalid

About Evidence for Africa

Evidence for Africa highlights every week recent IFPRI research and insights relevant to the continent’s food systems, economic development, and policy priorities.

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